BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Iowa State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Iowa State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
18.18 |
23.16 (+4.98) |
25.91 |
31.18 (+5.27) |
31.18 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
359.82 |
372.22 (+12.40) |
365.36 |
393.49 (+28.13) |
393.49 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.95 |
5.41 (+0.46) |
6.55 |
6.89 (+0.34) |
6.89 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.18 |
11.38 (-9.80) |
22.82 |
17.54 (-5.27) |
17.54 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
282.45 |
218.00 (-64.46) |
353.91 |
312.27 (-41.64) |
312.27 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.63 |
3.79 (-0.83) |
5.15 |
4.89 (-0.26) |
4.89 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Northern Iowa |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 30-9 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Iowa |
15.81 |
11.40 |
-4.41 |
27.20 |
57.08% |
L 13-20 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Ohio |
28.08 |
11.98 |
-16.10 |
40.06 |
75.83% |
L 7-10 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Oklahoma State |
31.87 |
24.28 |
-7.59 |
56.15 |
62.18% |
W 34-27 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Oklahoma |
21.42 |
37.62 |
+16.20 |
59.03 |
24.02% |
L 20-50 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-08 |
TCU |
29.63 |
24.22 |
-5.41 |
53.86 |
58.67% |
W 27-14 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Cincinnati |
32.81 |
16.46 |
-16.35 |
49.27 |
76.23% |
W 30-10 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Baylor |
36.16 |
20.89 |
-15.28 |
57.05 |
74.50% |
W 30-18 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Kansas |
28.07 |
25.47 |
-2.60 |
53.54 |
54.17% |
L 21-28 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@BYU |
30.68 |
18.79 |
-11.89 |
49.47 |
69.07% |
W 45-13 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-19 |
Texas |
15.41 |
29.22 |
+13.81 |
44.63 |
27.85% |
L 16-26 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-26 |
@Kansas State |
19.67 |
35.38 |
+15.71 |
55.05 |
24.81% |
W 42-35 |
7-5 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-29 |
Memphis |
41.60 |
23.83 |
-17.77 |
65.44 |
78.50% |
L 26-36 |
7-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.00% |
| 2-11 |
0.01% |
| 3-10 |
0.28% |
| 4-9 |
1.47% |
| 5-8 |
5.35% |
| 6-7 |
12.66% |
| 7-6 |
21.41% |
| 8-5 |
24.89% |
| 9-4 |
19.72% |
| 10-3 |
10.32% |
| 11-2 |
3.26% |
| 12-1 |
0.58% |
| 13-0 |
0.06% |